10th International Conference on 
Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology


 

DIVISION P: PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENT


(The papers with links are those received by the SMiRT 10 Secretariat at the time the Transactions went to press)


P01: System Reliability Studies

Mathematical Methods for Sequential Operations Reliability
Tullio Trombetti, Paolo Vestrucci

Ageing Phenomenon in Probabilistic Safety Assessment Studies
M. Das, R.N. Bhawal
Mathematical Methods in the Qualimetrical Determination of Safety Level of Nuclear Power Plants
Pawl Kuraszkiewicz, S. Altmann

P02: Dependent Failure Modeling

The Concept of Dependence in PSA
George E. Apostolakis
Stochastic Reliability Analysis: The Interface for Component Data Evaluation
Peter Dörre
Interaction Between Model and Data in Common Cause Failure Analysis
Ali Mosleh
The Use of Engineering Judgement in Dependent Failure Analysis
G.M. Ballard
Review of Current Problems in Dependent Failure Analysis
Stefan Hirschberg
On Models for Causal Dependency
Gerath W. Parry
On the Treatment of Dependence in Making Decisions About Risk
Vicki M. Bier

P03: PSA-Based Decision Making

Uncertainty Estimation in Nuclear Power Plant Probabilistic Safety Assessment: State of the Art and Use in Decision Making
Sergio B. Guarro, Garth E. Cummings

Insights from the German Risk Study in the Light of the Reported Comments on NUREG 1150
Peter Kafka
The Role of Uncertainty in Seismic Risk Analysis
Bruce Ellingwood
Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment and its Application to Utility Safety Decisions
J.-S. Wu, F.L. Yu, P.C. Chen, E. Lin

P04: Application of Probabilistic Methods

An Expert System to Estimate Time, Rate and Magnitude of Release of Important Radioactive Isotopes, Given a Loss of Containment Integrity
Kil-Yoo Kim, David Okrent

An Estimation of the Probability of Failure for BWR-Piping in Sweden
Fred Nilsson, Björn Brickstad
Deductive Tree Analysis for Evaluating the Reliability of Construction Operations
Ziad A. Eldukair, Bilal M. Ayyub
PSA of Subsystem of Nuclear Power Plant Based on Analysis of Possible Distortions and Failures
Pawel Kuraszkiewicz

P05: Managing the Risks of Relay Chatter and Other Seismic Effects

Enhanced Seismic Risk Assessment on the Diablo Canyon Power Plant
Dennis C. Bley, Harold F. Perla, Donald J. Wakefield, Bruce D. Smith
Seismic Risk Management of the Beznau Nuclear Plant
Harold F. Perla, Suresh Sahgal
Relay Chatter and its Effects on Nuclear Plant Safety
Howard E. Lambert Robert J. Budnitz
Analysis of Relay Chatter in the Diablo Canyon PRA
Dennis C. Bley, Bruce D. Smith
Seismic Evaluation of Relays for the Plant Hatch Seismic Margin Assessment
Keith D. Wooten, James E. Smith, Donald P. Moore, Robert P. Kassawara

P06: Seismic PSA

Fragility and Hazard Aspects of the Chinshan Seismic PRA
G.S. Hardy, L.C. Han, W.H. Tong, M.J. Griffin
Sensitivity of Seismic Risk Estimates to Design and Construction Errors
M.K. Ravindra, B. Ellingwood
On Some Special Studies Performed for Seismic Fragility Evaluation
Robert P. Kennedy, Bimal E. Sarkar, David Ovadia
A Note on Families of Fragility Curves--Is the Composite Curve Equivalent to the Mean Curve?
Stan Kaplan, Vicki M. Bier, Dennis C. Bley
An Integrated Technique for the Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Structural Systems
Adrian N. Vulpe, Alexandru D. Carausu
Seismic Risk Analysis of Spent Fuel Pools
P.G. Prassinos, R.C. Murray, M.K. Ravindra, P.S. Hashimoto, R.D. Campbell
A Study on the Use of Seismic Data in the Seismic Hazard Estimation of PRA
Mamoru Mizutani, Takashi Kamiyoshihara, Masayuki Takemura, Hiroshi Ishida
Comparison of Methods for Seismic Risk Quantification
M.K. Ravindra, L.W. Tiong
The Investigation of VVER-440 Reactor Response to External Events
Jan Mrkos, Karel Dach, Ladislav Pecinka, V. Zeman

 

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